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Live Portfolio Tracker — since 2026-01-01
Max Growth
$99,802
-0.20%
C
Balanced
$99,802
-0.20%
C
L Fund (2050)
$97,911
-2.09%
L2050
C Fund Only
$96,701
-3.30%
C

Equity Curves

Started: $100,000 on 2026-01-01 Updated: 2026-03-23

Market Regime

Bull-Volatile
Confidence
53%
30d Mom
-4.8%
Volatility
0.83

Current Allocation

Max Growth
I Fund (Intl) 100%

Stays in equities through volatility. Never goes to G Fund.

Transfer Deadline

--:--:--
until deadline

Transfer Plan

IFTs:
0 left
Hold -- No Action

Max delta 0.0% below threshold 15%

This Week

2026-03-25

Rebalance to 75% G Fund / 15% F Fund / 10% I Fund — preserve capital while maintaining minimal equity exposure for a potential momentum inflection, and conserve your remaining IFT capacity.

The momentum signal recommends 100% I Fund, but all three analysts unanimously reject this as indefensible — I Fund is down -8.3% monthly with 24.2% annualized volatility, and the 'Bull-Volatile' regime label at just 0.53 confidence is misleading given uniformly negative momentum across all equity funds. The council reached rare full consensus that equity correlations at 0.79 render C/S/I diversification illusory, making G Fund the only true hedge. The Macro Analyst sees this as broad macro deterioration — not sector rotation — and warns tariffs may represent a structural regime shift rather than a cyclical headwind, while the Sentiment Analyst counters that approaching Q1 earnings season could trigger a second leg down if companies pre-announce tariff cost warnings, pushing sentiment from -52 toward -70 territory. The Risk Analyst raised a critical operational point: with only two free interfund transfers per month, the asymmetry strongly favors rotating defensive now — the cost of being wrong on the aggressive side (riding a -10%+ drawdown while locked out) far exceeds the cost of missing a bounce. F Fund is failing as a traditional bond hedge due to rate uncertainty, with losses across all timeframes, leaving G Fund as the sole reliable capital preservation vehicle.

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